Press release No. 457 of 6 December 2024
Production in industry
October 2024 (in real terms, provisional):
-1.0% on the previous month (seasonally and calendar adjusted)
-4.5% on the same month a year earlier (calendar adjusted)
September 2024 (in real terms, revised):
-2.0% on the previous month (seasonally and calendar adjusted)
-4.3% on the same month a year earlier (calendar adjusted)
WIESBADEN – Production in industry in real terms (price adjusted) was down 1.0% in October 2024 month on month after seasonal and calendar adjustment, according to provisional data provided by the Federal Statistical Office (Destatis). The less volatile three-month on three-month comparison showed that production was 0.4% lower in the period from August 2024 to October 2024 than in the previous three months. After revision of the provisional results, production decreased by 2.0% in September 2024 compared with August 2024 (provisional figure: -2.5%). Compared with October 2023, production was 4.5% lower in October 2024 after adjustment for calendar effects.
Significant drop in energy production
The overall development in industry in October 2024 was mainly influenced by energy production, which declined by 8.9% month on month after seasonal and calendar adjustment. The production decline of 1.9% registered in the automotive industry had a negative impact as well.
In October 2024, production in industry excluding energy and construction was down 0.3% from September 2024 after seasonal and calendar adjustment. The production of consumer goods fell by 1.0% and the production of capital goods dropped by 0.4%. By contrast, intermediate goods production rose by 0.4%. Outside industry, production in construction remained at the level of the previous month.
Compared with October 2023, production in industry excluding energy and construction in October 2024 was down 4.5% after adjustment for calendar effects.
Production down in energy-intensive industrial branches
Production in energy-intensive industrial branches declined by 0.9% in October 2024 from September 2024, after elimination of seasonal and calendar effects. A three-month on three-month comparison showed that production in energy-intensive industrial branches was 4.0% lower in the period from August to October 2024 than in the previous three months. Adjusted for calendar effects, production in energy-intensive industrial branches was down 0.8% in October 2024 compared with October 2023. An analysis on the Production index for energy-intensive industrial branches (only in German) is available on the “Industry, manufacturing” page of the Federal Statistical Office’s website.
Methodological notes:
The differing comparative periods must be taken into account in all press releases on short-term indicators. Short-term economic monitoring focuses on comparisons of seasonally and calendar adjusted figures with those of the previous month or quarter. These reflect short-term economic trends. Year-on-year comparisons of calendar adjusted results enable long-term comparisons of levels and are not influenced by seasonal fluctuations or calendar effects. The results of month-on-month, quarter-on-quarter and year-on-year comparisons may differ considerably due to the Covid-19 crisis and the war in Ukraine.
The rates of change are based on the production index for industry. The average figure for 2021 is used as the basis of the index and set to 100 index points (2021 = 100). The X13 JDemetra+ method was used for calendar and seasonal adjustment.
The five branches referred to here as “energy-intensive” have particularly high energy demands in relation to their gross value added. In the reference year of 2021, they collectively accounted for 77% of total industrial energy consumption. Their proportion of industrial gross value added stood at 17%. In 2021, just under one million people (929,599) were employed in the 6,986 industrial establishments of these branches in Germany.
For better readability, this press release uses a short form for the names of some economic branches which differs from the designations in the "Classification of Economic Activities (2008 edition)". An overview of these short forms (only in German) is provided on the “Industry, manufacturing” page on the website of the Federal Statistical Office.
More information:
Basic data and long time series on the production index in industry can be found in the table Indices of production in manufacturing (42153-0001) in the GENESIS-Online database. It contains the time series of the production index for energy-intensive industrial branches from 2005 onwards.
A dossier on the "Short-term indicators" page of the Federal Statistical Office's website provides an analysis of the relationship between material shortages, new orders, production and prices in industry. Detailed information on production in energy-intensive industrial branches is available on the "Industry, manufacturing" page.
The production index is also available on Dashboard Germany at www.dashboard-deutschland.de (only in German) In this data portal, the Federal Statistical Office brings together up-to-date indicators from official statistics producers and other data providers on the topics of the economy, finance, the labour market, construction, housing, energy and Ukraine. The portal also contains the Economic Pulse Monitor tool (Pulsmesser für die Wirtschaft) (only in German) for real-time economic monitoring.
Important information regarding the GENESIS-Online database:
After leaving the beta phase, our database's new user interface has been available as the main interface version since 5 November 2024. The new interface offers faster data retrieval and intuitive table search and customisation options. There have also been changes to the structure of the machine-readable flat file (CSV) format and the data output format for table downloads. For further details and other important information on the release, please see the info page of the new GENESIS-Online database.
